Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 15:15 UTCFull timeStade OcéaneFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLe HavreNice
Shots12 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession41%59%
Corners0 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match4 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Yassine Kechta · Le Havre · 2′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAntoine Mendy · Nice · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Louchet · Nice · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAbdulay Juma Bah · Nice · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 72′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 81′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 46′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTerem Moffi · Nice · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 50′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 30′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 75′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 21′ · 0.16 xG · on targetYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 3′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedKojo Peprah Oppong · Nice · 52′ · 0.26 xG · goalRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 61′ · 0.44 xG · goalIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.65 xG · goalFodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 13′ · 0.78 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 12 shots, 8 on target, 2.63 xG. Nice: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Fodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 13′Rassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 61′Issa Soumaré · Le Havre · 90′Kojo Peprah Oppong · Nice · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 2.63 xG · Nice 0.61 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Nice's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Nice have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Nice show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nice's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/matchShotsLe Havre · Nice12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreNiceBaseline
Shots13 shots/match12 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against8.67 shots/match11.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Nice have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.3%PossessionLe Havre · Nice57%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreNiceBaseline
Possession41.3%57%50.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Le Havre favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Nice in 0 · 14 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
13 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312 shots/match
8.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/311.3 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33.67 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/36 shots/match
41.3%Possessionseason · 3/357%
3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/36.33 corners/match
3.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/32.67 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32.67 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Le Havre19.4
Nice86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Le Havre66.7
Nice38.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Le Havre63
Nice38
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Le Havre86.1
Nice19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Le Havre63.8
Nice76.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Le Havre22.2
Nice69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Le Havre61.1
Nice54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13 shots/matchShots3/312 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target3/33.67 shots/match
41.3%Possession3/357%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/36.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/312.7 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13 shots/matchShots3/312 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target3/33.67 shots/match
41.3%Possession3/357%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/36.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/312.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13 shots/matchShots3/312 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target3/33.67 shots/match
41.3%Possession3/357%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/36.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/312.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 1 matches
Goals scored2/1
Goals allowed2/1
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/1
Shots on target2/1
Possession2/1
Corners2/1
Cards2/1
Fouls2/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.93 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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