PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeStade Raymond-KopaFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAngersRennes
Shots10 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target7 shots/match7 shots/match
Possession37%63%
Corners1 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Przemysław Frankowski · Rennes · 19′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 78′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDjaoui Cissé · Rennes · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSidiki Cherif · Angers · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Rennes · 67′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Rennes · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Rennes · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Rennes · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJacques Ekomie · Angers · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPrzemysław Frankowski · Rennes · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Rennes · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJacques Ekomie · Angers · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLanroy Machine · Angers · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Rennes · 15′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMohamed Kader Meite · Rennes · 64′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSidiki Cherif · Angers · 63′ · 0.10 xG · on targetEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 19′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMohamed Kader Meite · Rennes · 82′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Rennes · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedProsper Peter · Angers · 5′ · 0.27 xG · on targetProsper Peter · Angers · 51′ · 0.28 xG · goalLouis Mouton · Angers · 67′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 21′ · 0.67 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 10 shots, 7 on target, 1.22 xG. Rennes: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Prosper Peter · Angers · 51′Esteban Lepaul · Rennes · 21′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 1.22 xG · Rennes 1.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rennes have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Rennes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Rennes have recorded the higher season possession share.

28.3%▲PossessionAngers · Rennes46.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAngersRennesBaseline
Possession28.3%46.7%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Rennes show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rennes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7 shots/match▲ShotsAngers · Rennes10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAngersRennesBaseline
Shots7 shots/match10.3 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against17.7 shots/match18.7 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Angers favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Rennes in 0 · 14 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/310.3 shots/match
17.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/318.7 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.33 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/35.33 shots/match
28.3%Possessionseason · 3/346.7%
1.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/33.33 corners/match
8.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/35.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32.33 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/38.67 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Angers3.1
Rennes40.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Angers17.7
Rennes36.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Angers40.7
Rennes25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Angers53.1
Rennes34.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Angers39
Rennes43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Angers3.1
Rennes12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Angers17.2
Rennes28.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7 shots/matchShots3/3▲10.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.33 shots/match
28.3%Possession3/346.7%
1.33 corners/matchCorners3/33.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/38.67 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7 shots/matchShots3/3▲10.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.33 shots/match
28.3%Possession3/346.7%
1.33 corners/matchCorners3/33.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/38.67 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
7 shots/matchShots3/3▲10.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.33 shots/match
28.3%Possession3/346.7%
1.33 corners/matchCorners3/33.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/38.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards2/2—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAngersRennes
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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