PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Daio Wasabi Stayen

Sint-Truidense VV 1–3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 1–3.

Shots
918
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
1.141.59
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat St. Truiden 3–1. Recorded in this match (St. Truiden – Union St. Gilloise): shots 9–18, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 1.14–1.59, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Union St. Gilloise's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Union St. Gilloise's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match15 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

St. Truiden show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

St. Truiden's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsSt. Truiden · Union St. Gilloise15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSt. TruidenUnion St. GilloiseBaseline
Shots14 shots/match15 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.59 corners/matchCornersSt. Truiden · Union St. Gilloise● 5.81 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSt. TruidenUnion St. GilloiseBaseline
Corners5.59 corners/match5.81 corners/match4.97 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsSint-Truidense VV 9 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsSint-Truidense VV 2 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG1.59 xGSint-Truidense VV 1.14 xG, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.59 xG
  • Possession59%41%Sint-Truidense VV 59%, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 41%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersSint-Truidense VV 5 corners, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 5 corners
  • Fouls2 fouls4 foulsSint-Truidense VV 2 fouls, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 4 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 62′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMateo Biondic · Union St. Gilloise · 2′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Pavlić · Union St. Gilloise · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert-Jan Vanwesemael · St. Truiden · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Biondic · Union St. Gilloise · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Fuseini · Union St. Gilloise · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSimen Juklerød · St. Truiden · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBesfort Zeneli · Union St. Gilloise · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBesfort Zeneli · Union St. Gilloise · 41′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 23′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChristian Burgess · Union St. Gilloise · 27′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 67′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diouf · St. Truiden · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetBesfort Zeneli · Union St. Gilloise · 56′ · 0.18 xG · goalMateo Biondic · Union St. Gilloise · 25′ · 0.19 xG · on targetSimen Juklerød · St. Truiden · 79′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diouf · St. Truiden · 83′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedChristian Burgess · Union St. Gilloise · 23′ · 0.28 xG · goalOumar Diouf · St. Truiden · 79′ · 0.40 xG · goalRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 27′ · 0.41 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

St. Truiden: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.27 xG. Union St. Gilloise: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Oumar Diouf · St. Truiden · 79′Christian Burgess · Union St. Gilloise · 23′Ross Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 27′Besfort Zeneli · Union St. Gilloise · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: St. Truiden 1.27 xG · Union St. Gilloise 1.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sint-Truidense VV
1Draws
4Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–0
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–1
Sint-Truidense VV — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–0
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–1
Sint-Truidense VV — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sint-Truidense VV favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sint-Truidense VV32 matchesRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise32 matches
1.66 goals/matchGoals scored32/321.66 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 0.53 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals30/311.72 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 15 shots/match
4.34 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 5.31 shots/match
55% ●Possession32/3253.4%
5.59 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.81 corners/match
1.79 cards/matchCards28/282.5 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSint-Truidense VVRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headSint-Truidense VV — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required