Belgian Pro League · 2025Achter de Kazerne

KV Mechelen 2–3 KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KRC Genk won 2–3.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
1.712.99
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genk beat KV Mechelen 3–2. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – Genk): shots 13–12, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 1.71–2.99, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genk's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genk's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genk show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genk's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsKV Mechelen · Genk15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKV MechelenGenkBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Genk.

5.06 days ▲Rest daysKV Mechelen · Genk5.3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricKV MechelenGenkBaseline
Rest days5.06 days5.3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsKV Mechelen 13 shots, KRC Genk 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsKV Mechelen 6 shots, KRC Genk 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.71 xG2.99 xGKV Mechelen 1.71 xG, KRC Genk 2.99 xG
  • Possession43%57%KV Mechelen 43%, KRC Genk 57%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersKV Mechelen 2 corners, KRC Genk 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsKV Mechelen 11 fouls, KRC Genk 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsKV Mechelen 2 cards, KRC Genk 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 9′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTommy St Jago · KV Mechelen · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBill Antonio · KV Mechelen · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBouke Boersma · KV Mechelen · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAaron Bibout · Genk · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaan Heymans · Genk · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaan Heymans · Genk · 66′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 19′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 54′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBenito Raman · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJosé Marsà · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaxim Kireev · KV Mechelen · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJunya Ito · Genk · 61′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAaron Bibout · Genk · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRedouane Halhal · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 49′ · 0.13 xG · goalAaron Bibout · Genk · 26′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBenito Raman · KV Mechelen · 83′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 19′ · 0.66 xG · goalDaan Heymans · Genk · 76′ · 0.82 xG · goalAaron Bibout · Genk · 26′ · 0.92 xG · goalBryan Heynen · Genk · 61′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KV Mechelen: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.71 xG. Genk: 12 shots, 7 on target, 3.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Myron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 19′Kerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 49′Aaron Bibout · Genk · 26′Bryan Heynen · Genk · 61′Daan Heymans · Genk · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KV Mechelen 1.71 xG · Genk 3.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KV Mechelen
1Draws
3KRC Genk
KRC Genk — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League0–1
KV Mechelen — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–2
KRC Genk — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–1
KV Mechelen — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–1
KRC Genk — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · KRC Genk in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen27 matchesKRC Genk27 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.44 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.42 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 15.8 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 5.89 shots/match
49.3%Possession27/27● 61.3%
4.81 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.52 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards25/251.48 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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