PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Cegeka Arena

KRC Genk 2–0 RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KRC Genk won 2–0.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
1.070.62
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genk beat Anderlecht 2–0. Recorded in this match (Genk – Anderlecht): shots 18–11, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 1.07–0.62, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Anderlecht's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Anderlecht's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genk have a visible home split

moderate

Genk's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.7 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.58 corners/matchCornersGenk · Anderlecht● 6.38 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricGenkAnderlechtBaseline
Corners5.58 corners/match6.38 corners/match4.76 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsKRC Genk 18 shots, RSC Anderlecht 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsKRC Genk 8 shots, RSC Anderlecht 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG0.62 xGKRC Genk 1.07 xG, RSC Anderlecht 0.62 xG
  • Possession53%47%KRC Genk 53%, RSC Anderlecht 47%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersKRC Genk 5 corners, RSC Anderlecht 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls20 foulsKRC Genk 10 fouls, RSC Anderlecht 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardKRC Genk 2 cards, RSC Anderlecht 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Danylo Sikan · Anderlecht · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoris Kayembe · Genk · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKillian Sardella · Anderlecht · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnric Llansana · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYaimar Medina · Genk · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDaan Heymans · Genk · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBryan Heynen · Genk · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Heynen · Genk · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIbrahim Kanate · Anderlecht · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJarne Steuckers · Genk · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAaron Bibout · Genk · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYari Verschaeren · Anderlecht · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTristan Degreef · Anderlecht · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 27′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAaron Bibout · Genk · 4′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDaan Heymans · Genk · 81′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDaan Heymans · Genk · 20′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRobin Mirisola · Genk · 84′ · 0.15 xG · goalYira Collins Sor · Genk · 68′ · 0.26 xG · goalIbrahim Kanate · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genk: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.05 xG. Anderlecht: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yira Collins Sor · Genk · 68′Robin Mirisola · Genk · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genk 1.05 xG · Anderlecht 0.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4KRC Genk
1Draws
0RSC Anderlecht
RSC Anderlecht — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–1
KRC Genk — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League2–1
RSC Anderlecht — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–2
KRC Genk — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League2–0
RSC Anderlecht — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KRC Genk favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · RSC Anderlecht in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KRC Genk26 matchesRSC Anderlecht26 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.23 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.53 xG/match
15.9 shots/matchShots26/2615.2 shots/match
5.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264.58 shots/match
61.4% ●Possession26/2654.2%
5.58 corners/matchCorners26/26● 6.38 corners/match
1.42 cards/matchCards24/242.67 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKRC GenkRSC Anderlecht
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKRC Genk — RSC Anderlecht
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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