PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade Joseph Marien

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 2–1.

Shots
166
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
1.60.86
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat RAAL La Louvière 2–1. Recorded in this match (Union St. Gilloise – RAAL La Louvière): shots 16–6, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 1.6–0.86, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RAAL La Louvière's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RAAL La Louvière's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.85 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RAAL La Louvière show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

RAAL La Louvière's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsUnion St. Gilloise · RAAL La Louvière9.77 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match9.77 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against8.52 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Union St. Gilloise have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.5% ●PossessionUnion St. Gilloise · RAAL La Louvière36.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Possession53.5%36.8%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots6 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 16 shots, RAAL La Louvière 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 shots, RAAL La Louvière 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.6 xG0.86 xGRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.6 xG, RAAL La Louvière 0.86 xG
  • Possession63%37%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 63%, RAAL La Louvière 37%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 9 corners, RAAL La Louvière 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 13 fouls, RAAL La Louvière 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 4 cards, RAAL La Louvière 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Promise David · Union St. Gilloise · 62′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSami Lahssaini · RAAL La Louvière · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSami Lahssaini · RAAL La Louvière · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 45′ · 0.03 xG · goalPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordi Liongola · RAAL La Louvière · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Mac Allister · Union St. Gilloise · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPape Moussa Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 50′ · 0.07 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBesfort Zeneli · Union St. Gilloise · 50′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFedde Leysen · Union St. Gilloise · 68′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLouis Patris · Union St. Gilloise · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 78′ · 0.10 xG · on targetGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 82′ · 0.11 xG · goalAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 62′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedKevin Mac Allister · Union St. Gilloise · 68′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedJerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 5′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Union St. Gilloise: 16 shots, 8 on target, 1.62 xG. RAAL La Louvière: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Rob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 45′Guilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 82′Jerry Afriyie · RAAL La Louvière · 5′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Union St. Gilloise 1.62 xG · RAAL La Louvière 0.84 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
1Draws
0RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · RAAL La Louvière in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise25 matchesRAAL La Louvière26 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/260.85 goals/match
0.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/261.15 goals/match
1.81 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/240.89 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots25/269.77 shots/match
5.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/262.73 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession25/2636.8%
5.92 corners/match ●Corners25/264.62 corners/match
2.42 cards/matchCards24/241.83 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2611.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseRAAL La Louvière
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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