PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Achter de Kazerne

KV Mechelen 2–0 Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KV Mechelen won 2–0.

Shots
816
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.661.08
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

KV Mechelen beat Antwerp 2–0. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – Antwerp): shots 8–16, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.66–1.08, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Antwerp's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Antwerp's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots16 shotsKV Mechelen 8 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsKV Mechelen 2 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.66 xG1.08 xGKV Mechelen 1.66 xG, Royal Antwerp FC 1.08 xG
  • Possession33%67%KV Mechelen 33%, Royal Antwerp FC 67%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersKV Mechelen 3 corners, Royal Antwerp FC 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsKV Mechelen 9 fouls, Royal Antwerp FC 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardKV Mechelen 1 card, Royal Antwerp FC 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

José Marsà · KV Mechelen · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Babadi · Antwerp · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChristopher Scott · Antwerp · 51′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYoussef Hamdaoui · Antwerp · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVincent Janssen · Antwerp · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Babadi · Antwerp · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTommy St Jago · KV Mechelen · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Valencia · Antwerp · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVincent Janssen · Antwerp · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVincent Janssen · Antwerp · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVincent Janssen · Antwerp · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIsaac Babadi · Antwerp · 82′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarwan Al-Sahafi · Antwerp · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Valencia · Antwerp · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarwan Al-Sahafi · Antwerp · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Scott · Antwerp · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKeano Vanrafelghem · KV Mechelen · 1′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarwan Al-Sahafi · Antwerp · 84′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBilal Bafdili · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 79′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBenito Raman · KV Mechelen · 84′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedGerard Vandeplas · Antwerp · 35′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedKeano Vanrafelghem · KV Mechelen · 65′ · 0.36 xG · goalMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 11′ · 0.69 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KV Mechelen: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.72 xG. Antwerp: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Myron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 11′Keano Vanrafelghem · KV Mechelen · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KV Mechelen 1.72 xG · Antwerp 1.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2KV Mechelen
2Draws
1Royal Antwerp FC
Royal Antwerp FC — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–1
KV Mechelen — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League1–1
Royal Antwerp FC — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League0–1
Royal Antwerp FC — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League0–1
KV Mechelen — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Royal Antwerp FC in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen26 matchesRoyal Antwerp FC26 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.12 goals/match
1.08 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.12 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.28 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 11.8 shots/match
4.04 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.31 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession26/2649.3%
4.92 corners/match ●Corners26/264.23 corners/match
2.46 cards/matchCards24/242 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 22:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKV MechelenRoyal Antwerp FC
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKV Mechelen — Royal Antwerp FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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