PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Het Kuipje

KVC Westerlo 0–4 Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sint-Truidense VV won 0–4.

Shots
817
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.683.03
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

St. Truiden beat KVC Westerlo 4–0. Recorded in this match (KVC Westerlo – St. Truiden): shots 8–17, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.68–3.03, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KVC Westerlo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KVC Westerlo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots17 shotsKVC Westerlo 8 shots, Sint-Truidense VV 17 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsKVC Westerlo 1 shot, Sint-Truidense VV 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.68 xG3.03 xGKVC Westerlo 0.68 xG, Sint-Truidense VV 3.03 xG
  • Possession50%50%KVC Westerlo 50%, Sint-Truidense VV 50%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersKVC Westerlo 6 corners, Sint-Truidense VV 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsKVC Westerlo 13 fouls, Sint-Truidense VV 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardKVC Westerlo 3 cards, Sint-Truidense VV 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Shogo Taniguchi · St. Truiden · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDoğucan Haspolat · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBryan Reynolds · KVC Westerlo · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDylan Ourega · KVC Westerlo · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Reynolds · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert-Jan Vanwesemael · St. Truiden · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 79′ · 0.06 xG · on targetShogo Taniguchi · St. Truiden · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Patrao · KVC Westerlo · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 10′ · 0.12 xG · goalRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 60′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 16′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 35′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 30′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 69′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 82′ · 0.42 xG · goalFernand Gouré · KVC Westerlo · 68′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 42′ · 0.59 xG · goalAbdoulaye Sissako · St. Truiden · 31′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KVC Westerlo: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.70 xG. St. Truiden: 17 shots, 6 on target, 3.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Rihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 10′Abdoulaye Sissako · St. Truiden · 31′Rihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 42′Keisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KVC Westerlo 0.70 xG · St. Truiden 3.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KVC Westerlo
1Draws
3Sint-Truidense VV
Sint-Truidense VV — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League0–3
KVC Westerlo — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–2
Sint-Truidense VV — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League2–0
KVC Westerlo — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–2
Sint-Truidense VV — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KVC Westerlo favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Sint-Truidense VV in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KVC Westerlo26 matchesSint-Truidense VV25 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored26/25▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed26/25▲ 1.04 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.8 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots26/2514.4 shots/match
4.62 shots/matchShots on target26/254.44 shots/match
50.3%Possession26/25● 53.1%
5.46 corners/match ●Corners26/255.2 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards24/241.92 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls26/2511.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 6 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKVC WesterloSint-Truidense VV
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKVC Westerlo — Sint-Truidense VV
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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