Premier League · 2025Sun, 17 May 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeBrentford Community StadiumFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrentfordCrystal Palace
Shots14 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals1.87 xG/match1.62 xG/match
Possession58%42%
Corners9 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match5 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Crystal Palace. A second useful context is: Brentford's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Crystal Palace.

7.9 daysRest daysBrentford · Crystal Palace3.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBrentfordCrystal PalaceBaseline
Rest days7.9 days3.79 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.46 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Crystal Palace have a visible away split

moderate

Crystal Palace's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.84 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.84 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Brentford
0Draws
1Crystal Palace
Crystal PalaceBrentford · Premier League20

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 3 · 8 too close

1.46 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/371.08 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/371.32 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.46 xG/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.37 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/3711.6 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/3711.6 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/373.76 shots/match
4.16 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/374.19 shots/match
47.6%Possessionseason · 37/3746.1%
4.81 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/374.19 corners/match
5.14 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 37/375.22 corners/match
1.97 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/302.2 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3710.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/3732%
68%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/3768%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford42.5
Crystal Palace32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford40.8
Crystal Palace26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford45
Crystal Palace65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford7.5
Crystal Palace57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford48.8
Crystal Palace61.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 89%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford35
Crystal Palace17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford34.4
Crystal Palace31.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.6 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.61 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots5/512.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
49.4%Possession5/545.4%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
8.2 fouls/matchFouls5/57.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.46 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots10/1011 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/103.6 shots/match
50.4%Possession10/1048.8%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
Cards2/32.33 cards/match
8.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

37 / 37 matches
1.46 goals/matchGoals scored37/371.08 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed37/371.32 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.46 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots37/3711.6 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on target37/373.76 shots/match
47.6%Possession37/3746.1%
4.81 corners/matchCorners37/374.19 corners/match
1.97 cards/matchCards29/302.2 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls37/3710.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches
1.74 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.16 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.47 goals/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals5/41.35 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots19/199.84 shots/match
4.05 shots/matchShots on target19/193.53 shots/match
47%Possession19/1943.9%
4.26 corners/matchCorners19/194 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards14/152.33 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1910.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.79 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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