Premier League · 2025Sun, 10 May 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeSelhurst ParkFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

Everton

WDLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCrystal PalaceEverton
Shots21 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals2.66 xG/match1.44 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners5 corners/match10 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Crystal Palace's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Crystal Palace have a visible home split

moderate

Crystal Palace's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Crystal Palace
0Draws
1Everton
EvertonCrystal Palace · Premier League21

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Everton in 3 · 7 too close

1.09 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 35/361.28 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 35/361.28 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/71.39 xG/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/71.75 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/3611.2 shots/match
11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 35/3613.9 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 35/363.78 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 35/364.25 shots/match
46.8%Possessionseason · 35/3643.4%
4.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 35/364.39 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/365.17 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCardsseason · 30/292.03 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3610.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
34%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3631%
69%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3675%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace37.5
Everton12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace27.5
Everton32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace65.8
Everton40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace57.5
Everton67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace67.5
Everton47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace17.5
Everton22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace35
Everton30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.53 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots5/512.4 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
50.6%Possession5/542.4%
4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals6/71.39 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots10/1011.6 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/105.1 shots/match
54.4%Possession10/1042%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/31.67 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

35 / 36 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored35/361.28 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed35/361.28 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals6/71.39 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots35/3611.2 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on target35/363.78 shots/match
46.8%Possession35/3643.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners35/364.39 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards30/292.03 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls35/3610.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.17 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.22 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.28 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots18/1810 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target18/183.22 shots/match
48.4%Possession18/1840.6%
4.39 corners/matchCorners18/183.72 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards15/142 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.75 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples35 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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