PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeSelhurst ParkFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

Wolves

LLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCrystal PalaceWolves
Shots14 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Possession61%39%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards5 cards/match3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wolves. A second useful context is: Wolves's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Wolves.

10.8 days▲Rest daysCrystal Palace · Wolves3.75 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCrystal PalaceWolvesBaseline
Rest days10.8 days3.75 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Wolves show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolves's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match▲ShotsCrystal Palace · Wolves9.25 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceWolvesBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match9.25 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

weak

Crystal Palace's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Crystal Palace
0Draws
0Wolves
Wolves — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Wolves in 0 · 5 too close

1.07 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 27/280.64 goals/match
1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 27/281.82 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 27/289.25 shots/match
11.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2813.8 shots/match
3.81 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 27/283.29 shots/match
4.04 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/284.57 shots/match
45.1%Possessionseason · 27/2843.4%
4.3 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/283.29 corners/match
4.78 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 27/286.07 corners/match
2.19 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/282.25 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2813.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
37%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2811%
70%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2846%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace30
Wolves12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace30.8
Wolves9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace70
Wolves14.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace77.5
Wolves2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace60
Wolves87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace22.5
Wolves2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace35.6
Wolves31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match
54.4%Possession5/540.6%
6 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
3.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.3 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.1 shots/match
49.9%Possession10/1040.4%
5.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
2.9 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

27 / 28 matches
1.07 goals/match▲Goals scored27/280.64 goals/match
1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowed27/281.82 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.9 shots/match▲Shots27/289.25 shots/match
3.81 shots/match▲Shots on target27/283.29 shots/match
45.1%Possession27/2843.4%
4.3 corners/matchCorners27/283.29 corners/match
2.19 cards/matchCards27/282.25 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls27/2813.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored14/140.36 goals/match
1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots14/148.64 shots/match
4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target14/142.93 shots/match
46.5%Possession14/1442%
4.36 corners/matchCorners14/143.5 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards14/142.86 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.75 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples27 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCrystal PalaceWolves
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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