PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 24 May 2026, 18:45 UTCFull time

Torino

2–2Full-time recap

Juventus

This page now describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Key factors

The clearest supported patterns

Strength combines sample and difference. It is not a probability.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricHomeAwayBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.61 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHomeAwayBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Juventus have a visible away split

moderate

Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricHomeAwayBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Torino22.5
Juventus82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Torino52.5
Juventus90.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Torino19.2
Juventus88.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Torino77.5
Juventus97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Torino72.5
Juventus17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 87%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Torino35
Juventus82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Torino59.4
Juventus75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
MetricTorinoJuventus
Goals scored1.4 goals/match5 obs.0.8 goals/match5 obs.
Goals allowed1.8 goals/match5 obs.1 goals/match5 obs.
Expected goals1.57 xG/match5 obs.1.76 xG/match5 obs.
Shots12.6 shots/match5 obs.19 shots/match5 obs.
Shots on target2.8 shots/match5 obs.6 shots/match5 obs.
Possession46.2%5 obs.61.8%5 obs.
Corners4.2 corners/match5 obs.7 corners/match5 obs.
Cards—0 obs.—1 obs.
Fouls12.4 fouls/match5 obs.12.2 fouls/match5 obs.

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
MetricTorinoJuventus
Goals scored1.6 goals/match10 obs.1.1 goals/match10 obs.
Goals allowed1.4 goals/match10 obs.0.6 goals/match10 obs.
Expected goals1.5 xG/match10 obs.1.8 xG/match10 obs.
Shots12.4 shots/match10 obs.17.2 shots/match10 obs.
Shots on target3.2 shots/match10 obs.5.7 shots/match10 obs.
Possession45%10 obs.59.3%10 obs.
Corners3.5 corners/match10 obs.6.2 corners/match10 obs.
Cards—0 obs.—1 obs.
Fouls12.5 fouls/match10 obs.11.3 fouls/match10 obs.

Window

Season

38 / 38 matches
MetricTorinoJuventus
Goals scored1.16 goals/match38 obs.1.61 goals/match38 obs.
Goals allowed1.66 goals/match38 obs.0.89 goals/match38 obs.
Expected goals1.5 xG/match10 obs.1.8 xG/match10 obs.
Shots11.8 shots/match38 obs.16.8 shots/match38 obs.
Shots on target3.95 shots/match38 obs.5.95 shots/match38 obs.
Possession44.2%38 obs.57.5%38 obs.
Corners3.84 corners/match38 obs.5.37 corners/match38 obs.
Cards2.07 cards/match28 obs.1.28 cards/match29 obs.
Fouls13.9 fouls/match38 obs.12.2 fouls/match38 obs.

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches
MetricTorinoJuventus
Goals scored1.42 goals/match19 obs.1.37 goals/match19 obs.
Goals allowed1.53 goals/match19 obs.0.95 goals/match19 obs.
Expected goals1.81 xG/match5 obs.1.67 xG/match5 obs.
Shots12.5 shots/match19 obs.13.8 shots/match19 obs.
Shots on target4.21 shots/match19 obs.5.05 shots/match19 obs.
Possession45.4%19 obs.56.4%19 obs.
Corners4.32 corners/match19 obs.4.32 corners/match19 obs.
Cards1.86 cards/match14 obs.1.64 cards/match14 obs.
Fouls13.4 fouls/match19 obs.12.9 fouls/match19 obs.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

MetricHomeAwayCompetitionSamples
Goals scoredseason1.16 goals/match48th1.61 goals/match88th1.17 goals/match38 / 38
Goals allowedseason1.66 goals/match93th0.89 goals/match13th1.24 goals/match38 / 38
Expected goalsseason1.5 xG/match78th1.8 xG/match98th1.18 xG/match10 / 10
Expected goals allowedseason1.35 xG/match63th0.79 xG/match3th1.29 xG/match10 / 10
Shotsseason11.8 shots/match53th16.8 shots/match93th11.6 shots/match38 / 38
Shots allowedseason13.8 shots/match78th10.2 shots/match20th12.8 shots/match38 / 38
Shots on targetseason3.95 shots/match58th5.95 shots/match93th3.8 shots/match38 / 38
Shots on target allowedseason4.47 shots/match73th2.79 shots/match3th4.2 shots/match38 / 38
Possessionseason44.2%23th57.5%83th49.5%38 / 38
Cornersseason3.84 corners/match35th5.37 corners/match83th4.28 corners/match38 / 38
Corners allowedseason4.66 corners/match53th3.74 corners/match23th4.61 corners/match38 / 38
Cardsseason2.07 cards/match53th1.28 cards/match3th2.05 cards/match28 / 29
Foulsseason13.9 fouls/match93th12.2 fouls/match33th12.9 fouls/match38 / 38
Clean-sheet frequencyseason32%50th42%83th32%38 / 38
Scoring frequencyseason71%55th79%78th71%38 / 38

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

MetricHomeAwayCompetitionSamples
Rest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures7 days—7.36 days——1 / 1
Matches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures1 matches—1 matches——1 / 1

What could change this?

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
TeamsTorinoJuventus
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v3