PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Giovanni Zini
1–4Historical match

Como

LWDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Como won 1–4.

Shots
615
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
1.062.47
Possession
30%70%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsCremonese 6 shots, Como 15 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsCremonese 1 shot, Como 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG2.47 xGCremonese 1.06 xG, Como 2.47 xG
  • Possession30%70%Cremonese 30%, Como 70%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersCremonese 2 corners, Como 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsCremonese 14 fouls, Como 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsCremonese 4 cards, Como 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Da Cunha · Como · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Barbieri · Cremonese · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Cremonese · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Como · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAssane Diao · Como · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 81′ · 0.02 xG · goalAssane Diao · Como · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJacobo Ramón · Como · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSimone Lottici Tessadri · Cremonese · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Barbieri · Cremonese · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Como · 36′ · 0.08 xG · goalAssane Diao · Como · 77′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 57′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 51′ · 0.53 xG · goalAnastasios Douvikas · Como · 36′ · 0.57 xG · on targetFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 55′ · 0.82 xG · goalLucas Da Cunha · Como · 74′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cremonese: 6 shots, 1 on target, 1.08 xG. Como: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Federico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 55′Jesús Rodriguez · Como · 36′Anastasios Douvikas · Como · 51′Lucas Da Cunha · Como · 74′Lucas Da Cunha · Como · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cremonese 1.08 xG · Como 2.37 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Como beat Cremonese 4–1. Recorded in this match (Cremonese – Como): shots 6–15, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 1.06–2.47, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.11 shots/match ▲ShotsCremonese · Como14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseComoBaseline
Shots9.11 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match8.97 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Como have a visible away split

moderate

Como's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Cremonese
1Draws
0Como
Como — Cremonese · Serie A1–1
Cremonese — Como · Serie B2–1
Como — Cremonese · Serie B1–3
Como — Cremonese · Serie B1–2
Cremonese — Como · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cremonese favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Como in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cremonese38 matchesComo38 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored38/38▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲ 0.76 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals38/38▲ 1.63 xG/match
9.11 shots/matchShots38/38▲ 14.4 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲ 5.11 shots/match
46.5%Possession38/38● 61.6%
3.5 corners/matchCorners38/38● 4.47 corners/match
2.23 cards/matchCards31/302.27 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls38/3813.3 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cremonese42.5
Como97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cremonese14.2
Como87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cremonese7.5
Como92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cremonese2.5
Como27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cremonese68.8
Como70.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cremonese2.5
Como67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cremonese24.4
Como76.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.36 days

Cremonese / Como

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCremoneseComo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headCremonese — Como
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Cremonese 1–4 Como — Serie A 2025/26 Match Stats | PitchMath