PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 17 May 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeBluenergy Stadium - Stadio FriuliFull-time recap

Udinese

WLDWW
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricUdineseCremonese
Shots10 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.31 xG/match0.49 xG/match▲
Possession63%37%
Corners5 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Udinese's last-five shots average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Udinese's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Udinese
1Draws
0Cremonese
Cremonese — Udinese · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Cremonese in 1 · 3 too close

1.22 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 37/370.84 goals/match
1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 37/371.43 goals/match
1.29 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/90.78 xG/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/9▲0.89 xG/match
11.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 37/379.16 shots/match
13.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 37/3715.4 shots/match
3.86 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 37/373.35 shots/match
3.84 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 37/375.11 shots/match
45.9%Possessionseason · 37/3746.9%
4.51 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/373.49 corners/match
4.84 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 37/376 corners/match
1.86 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 28/302.07 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3713.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/3730%
73%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 37/3754%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese32.5
Cremonese42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese50.8
Cremonese15.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese50.8
Cremonese7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese67.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese55
Cremonese62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese67.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese61.2
Cremonese25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.51 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.64 xG/match
14 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match
52.6%Possession5/553%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
—Cards0/1—
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
1.29 xG/match▲Expected goals9/90.78 xG/match
12 shots/match▲Shots10/109.4 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match
46.2%Possession10/1052%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
—Cards1/32.33 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

37 / 37 matches
1.22 goals/match▲Goals scored37/370.84 goals/match
1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowed37/371.43 goals/match
1.29 xG/match▲Expected goals9/90.78 xG/match
11.6 shots/match▲Shots37/379.16 shots/match
3.86 shots/match▲Shots on target37/373.35 shots/match
45.9%Possession37/3746.9%
4.51 corners/matchCorners37/373.49 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCards28/302.07 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls37/3713.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches
0.95 goals/match▲Goals scored19/190.74 goals/match
1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.47 goals/match
1.01 xG/match▲Expected goals5/40.44 xG/match
12.8 shots/match▲Shots19/197.84 shots/match
3.89 shots/match▲Shots on target19/192.89 shots/match
48.2%Possession19/1946.1%
4.74 corners/matchCorners19/193.32 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards14/152.07 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.24 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsUdineseCremonese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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