PitchMath
Serie A · 2025MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce · Serie A

2–3Historical match

Lecce

LDDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 2–3.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.451.26
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Sassuolo 3–2. Recorded in this match (Sassuolo – Lecce): shots 15–11, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.45–1.26, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.73 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsSassuolo 15 shots, Lecce 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsSassuolo 6 shots, Lecce 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.45 xG1.26 xGSassuolo 2.45 xG, Lecce 1.26 xG
  • Possession74%26%Sassuolo 74%, Lecce 26%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersSassuolo 2 corners, Lecce 8 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsSassuolo 7 fouls, Lecce 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsSassuolo 1 card, Lecce 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ylber Ramadani · Lecce · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDomenico Berardi · Sassuolo · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWoyo Coulibaly · Sassuolo · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Camarda · Lecce · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Koné · Sassuolo · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Pierotti · Lecce · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Lecce · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 23′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWalid Cheddira · Lecce · 25′ · 0.06 xG · goalAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetWalid Cheddira · Lecce · 32′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 7′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 86′ · 0.10 xG · on targetM'Bala Nzola · Sassuolo · 60′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 57′ · 0.12 xG · on targetCristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Lecce · 14′ · 0.17 xG · goalIsmael Koné · Sassuolo · 11′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedNikola Štulić · Lecce · 90′ · 0.23 xG · goalArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 20′ · 0.29 xG · goalM'Bala Nzola · Sassuolo · 55′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 82′ · 0.52 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sassuolo: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.08 xG. Lecce: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Armand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 20′Andrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 82′Walid Cheddira · Lecce · 14′Walid Cheddira · Lecce · 25′Nikola Štulić · Lecce · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sassuolo 2.08 xG · Lecce 0.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Sassuolo
2Draws
1Lecce
Lecce — Sassuolo · Serie A0–0
Sassuolo — Lecce · Serie A0–3
Lecce — Sassuolo · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Sassuolo · Serie A0–1
Sassuolo — Lecce · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sassuolo favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sassuolo37 matchesLecce37 matches
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored37/370.73 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed37/371.35 goals/match
1.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals37/370.8 xG/match
10.8 shots/match ▲Shots37/379.84 shots/match
3.84 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/372.51 shots/match
46.1% ●Possession37/3741.9%
3.84 corners/matchCorners37/37● 4.38 corners/match
2.41 cards/matchCards29/281.79 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls37/3712.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSassuoloLecce
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headSassuolo — Lecce
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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