Serie A · 2025Unipol Domus

Cagliari 2–1 Torino · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Torino

WDDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cagliari won 2–1.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.320.99
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari beat Torino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Torino): shots 13–10, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.32–0.99, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cagliari's last-five shots average is above their season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsCagliari 13 shots, Torino 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsCagliari 4 shots, Torino 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG0.99 xGCagliari 1.32 xG, Torino 0.99 xG
  • Possession45%55%Cagliari 45%, Torino 55%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerCagliari 5 corners, Torino 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsCagliari 8 fouls, Torino 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardCagliari 1 card, Torino 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rafael Obrador · Torino · 37′ · 0.01 xG · goalGianluca Gaetano · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaul Mendy · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEmirhan İlkhan · Torino · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Palestra · Cagliari · 19′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaul Mendy · Cagliari · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarco Palestra · Cagliari · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 39′ · 0.08 xG · goalPaul Mendy · Cagliari · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPaul Mendy · Cagliari · 46′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 30′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Simeone · Torino · 90′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedChe Adams · Torino · 75′ · 0.42 xG · on targetYerry Mina · Cagliari · 45′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.60 xG. Torino: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Sebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 39′Yerry Mina · Cagliari · 45′Rafael Obrador · Torino · 37′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 1.60 xG · Torino 1.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cagliari
1Draws
2Torino
Torino — Cagliari · Serie A1–2
Torino — Cagliari · Serie A2–0
Cagliari — Torino · Serie A3–2
Cagliari — Torino · Serie A1–2
Torino — Cagliari · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari37 matchesTorino37 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals allowed37/371.65 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲ 1.2 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots37/37▲ 11.8 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲ 3.95 shots/match
45.4% ●Possession37/3744.1%
3.76 corners/matchCorners37/37● 3.78 corners/match
2.52 cards/matchCards29/282.07 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls37/3714.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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