PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico

Roma 2–0 Lazio · Serie A

Roma

WDWWW
2–0Historical match

Lazio

LWDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 2–0.

Shots
166
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.190.69
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Roma beat Lazio 2–0. Recorded in this match (AS Roma – Lazio): shots 16–6, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.19–0.69, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AS Roma have a visible home split

moderate

AS Roma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAS Roma · Lazio10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaLazioBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against9.78 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots6 shotsRoma 16 shots, Lazio 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsRoma 7 shots, Lazio 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG0.69 xGRoma 1.19 xG, Lazio 0.69 xG
  • Possession49%51%Roma 49%, Lazio 51%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersRoma 8 corners, Lazio 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls17 foulsRoma 15 fouls, Lazio 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsRoma 2 cards, Lazio 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mario Hermoso · AS Roma · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Lazio · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBryan Cristante · AS Roma · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Hermoso · AS Roma · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNuno Tavares · Lazio · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Lazio · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatteo Cancellieri · Lazio · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · AS Roma · 65′ · 0.04 xG · on targetStephan El Shaarawy · AS Roma · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWesley · AS Roma · 10′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 63′ · 0.06 xG · on targetArtem Dovbyk · AS Roma · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · AS Roma · 89′ · 0.09 xG · on targetStephan El Shaarawy · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 28′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 34′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJan Ziółkowski · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedZeki Çelik · AS Roma · 76′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Mancini · AS Roma · 66′ · 0.14 xG · goalGianluca Mancini · AS Roma · 40′ · 0.19 xG · goalMario Gila Fuentes · Lazio · 33′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Roma: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.20 xG. Lazio: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Gianluca Mancini · AS Roma · 40′Gianluca Mancini · AS Roma · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Roma 1.20 xG · Lazio 0.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Roma
2Draws
0Lazio
Lazio — Roma · Serie A0–1
Lazio — Roma · Serie A1–1
Roma — Lazio · Serie A2–0
Roma — Lazio · Serie A1–0
Lazio — Roma · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma37 matchesLazio37 matches
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored37/371.05 goals/match
0.84 goals/match ▲Goals allowed37/371.05 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals37/371.1 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots37/3710.9 shots/match
4.62 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/373.95 shots/match
56% ●Possession37/3750.4%
5.14 corners/match ●Corners37/373.7 corners/match
1.94 cards/matchCards31/292.38 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls37/3710.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headRoma — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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