PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 28 Dec 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giovanni ZiniFull-time recap
0–2Full-time recap

Napoli

LWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCremoneseNapoli
Shots6 shots/match22 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Possession47%53%
Corners1 corners/match10 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Napoli's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.47 shots/match▲ShotsCremonese · Napoli13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseNapoliBaseline
Shots8.47 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

weak

Napoli's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Napoli have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.1%▲PossessionCremonese · Napoli56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseNapoliBaseline
Possession46.1%56.3%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cremonese favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Napoli in 10 · 4 too close

1.06 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/16▲1.5 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/16▲0.81 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.47 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/16▲13.3 shots/match
16.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/16▲10.8 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/16▲5 shots/match
5.18 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/16▲2.69 shots/match
46.1%Possessionseason · 17/1656.3%
3.24 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/165.81 corners/match
6.65 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/16▲2.75 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCardsseason · 17/16▲1.5 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1612.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/16▲38%
65%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/16▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cremonese37.5
Napoli67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cremonese22.5
Napoli76.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cremonese19.2
Napoli86.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cremonese2.5
Napoli37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cremonese40
Napoli13.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cremonese7.5
Napoli87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cremonese15
Napoli63.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match
45.6%Possession5/550.8%
4 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.2 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.3 shots/match
47.2%Possession10/1052.9%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 16 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored17/16▲1.5 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed17/16▲0.81 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.47 shots/matchShots17/16▲13.3 shots/match
3.18 shots/matchShots on target17/16▲5 shots/match
46.1%Possession17/1656.3%
3.24 corners/matchCorners17/165.81 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCards17/161.5 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1612.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 9 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/91.11 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/9▲0.78 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.63 shots/matchShots8/9▲13.6 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target8/9▲4.67 shots/match
47.3%Possession8/957.6%
3.25 corners/matchCorners8/95.44 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards8/91.33 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls8/911.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCremoneseNapoli
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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