PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna 1–1 Sassuolo · Serie A

Bologna

WWLDL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna and Sassuolo drew 1–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
0.881.62
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna and Sassuolo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Sassuolo): shots 16–8, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 0.88–1.62, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sassuolo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sassuolo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Sassuolo10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaSassuoloBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsBologna 16 shots, Sassuolo 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsBologna 6 shots, Sassuolo 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG1.62 xGBologna 0.88 xG, Sassuolo 1.62 xG
  • Possession58%42%Bologna 58%, Sassuolo 42%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersBologna 2 corners, Sassuolo 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls19 foulsBologna 18 fouls, Sassuolo 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsBologna 2 cards, Sassuolo 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonathan Rowe · Bologna · 11′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNadir Zortea · Bologna · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Miranda · Bologna · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Moro · Bologna · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 69′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMartin Vitík · Bologna · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNadir Zortea · Bologna · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 39′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 79′ · 0.10 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 32′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 30′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 20′ · 0.22 xG · on targetTarik Muharemović · Sassuolo · 63′ · 0.23 xG · goalGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 47′ · 0.25 xG · goalAlieu Fadera · Sassuolo · 77′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 68′ · 0.45 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 16 shots, 6 on target, 0.88 xG. Sassuolo: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Giovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 47′Tarik Muharemović · Sassuolo · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 0.88 xG · Sassuolo 1.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bologna
2Draws
1Sassuolo
Bologna — Sassuolo · Serie A4–2
Sassuolo — Bologna · Serie A1–1
Sassuolo — Bologna · Serie A1–1
Bologna — Sassuolo · Serie A3–0
Bologna — Sassuolo · Serie A1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna16 matchesSassuolo17 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/171.29 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/171.24 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/171.08 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots16/1710.6 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/173.82 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession16/1745.5%
5.19 corners/match ●Corners16/173.47 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards16/172.47 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls16/1713.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBolognaSassuolo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headBologna — Sassuolo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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