PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 28 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeStadio Renato Dall'AraFull-time recap

Bologna

WWLDL
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBolognaSassuolo
Shots16 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession58%42%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match19 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sassuolo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sassuolo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsBologna · Sassuolo10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaSassuoloBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bologna favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 0 · 4 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/171.29 goals/match
0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/171.24 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1710.6 shots/match
10.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1713.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/173.82 shots/match
3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/174.94 shots/match
56.8%Possessionseason · 16/1745.5%
5.19 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/173.47 corners/match
4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/174.41 corners/match
2.13 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 16/172.47 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1713.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1724%
75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bologna77.5
Sassuolo32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bologna75.8
Sassuolo40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bologna80
Sassuolo29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bologna42.5
Sassuolo32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bologna66.2
Sassuolo66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bologna72.5
Sassuolo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bologna75
Sassuolo31.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
56%Possession5/542.6%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match
56.5%Possession10/1046.4%
4.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 17 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored16/171.29 goals/match
0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/171.24 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots16/1710.6 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target16/173.82 shots/match
56.8%Possession16/1745.5%
5.19 corners/matchCorners16/173.47 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards16/172.47 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls16/1713.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 9 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/91.33 goals/match
0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/91.22 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.4 shots/match▲Shots8/99.56 shots/match
4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target8/94.11 shots/match
56.5%Possession8/943.7%
5.38 corners/matchCorners8/93.44 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/92.33 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls8/913.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBolognaSassuolo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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