Serie A · 2025New Balance Arena

Atalanta 0–1 Inter · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Inter

WLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 0–1.

Shots
715
Shots on target
04
Expected goals
0.781.16
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Atalanta 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Inter): shots 7–15, shots on target 0–4, expected goals 0.78–1.16, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.76 corners/matchCornersAtalanta · Inter● 7.19 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaInterBaseline
Corners5.76 corners/match7.19 corners/match4.21 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

weak

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.19 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Inter17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaInterBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match17.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots15 shotsAtalanta 7 shots, Inter 15 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots4 shotsAtalanta 0 shots, Inter 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG1.16 xGAtalanta 0.78 xG, Inter 1.16 xG
  • Possession45%55%Atalanta 45%, Inter 55%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersAtalanta 4 corners, Inter 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsAtalanta 8 fouls, Inter 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardAtalanta 2 cards, Inter 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Éderson · Atalanta · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSead Kolašinac · Atalanta · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuís Henrique · Inter · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Inter · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 27′ · 0.09 xG · on targetManuel Akanji · Inter · 48′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuís Henrique · Inter · 56′ · 0.12 xG · on targetÉderson · Atalanta · 50′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 65′ · 0.34 xG · goalLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.84 xG. Inter: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 0.84 xG · Inter 1.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atalanta
0Draws
5Inter
Atalanta — Inter · Serie A0–2
Inter — Atalanta · Serie A4–0
Inter — Atalanta · Serie A4–0
Atalanta — Inter · Serie A1–2
Inter — Atalanta · Serie A3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta17 matchesInter16 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored17/16▲ 2.19 goals/match
1.12 goals/matchGoals allowed17/16▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals17/16▲ 1.8 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots17/16▲ 17.3 shots/match
4.35 shots/matchShots on target17/16▲ 5.5 shots/match
57.1%Possession17/16● 59.3%
5.76 corners/matchCorners17/16● 7.19 corners/match
1.59 cards/matchCards17/161.5 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1614.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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