PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

Lazio

LWLDW
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLazioCremonese
Shots8 shots/match9 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Possession57%43%
Corners3 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match21 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Lazio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio have a visible home split

moderate

Lazio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsLazio · Cremonese8.63 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioCremoneseBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match8.63 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match16.1 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lazio favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Cremonese in 2 · 5 too close

1.06 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲1.13 goals/match
0.69 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/161.13 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/168.63 shots/match
13.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1616.1 shots/match
4.31 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/163.25 shots/match
4.44 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/165 shots/match
51.1%Possessionseason · 16/1646.1%
3.69 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/163.38 corners/match
3.75 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/166.44 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCardsseason · 16/162.19 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1612.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
56%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1631%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲69%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lazio52.5
Cremonese37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lazio40
Cremonese27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lazio45.8
Cremonese24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lazio12.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lazio30
Cremonese46.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lazio32.5
Cremonese12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lazio31.2
Cremonese17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match
5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
55.6%Possession5/546.2%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.1 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.2 shots/match
4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match
51.8%Possession10/1047.7%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1.13 goals/match
0.69 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.13 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shots16/168.63 shots/match
4.31 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.25 shots/match
51.1%Possession16/1646.1%
3.69 corners/matchCorners16/163.38 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards16/162.19 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 9 matches
1.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/91 goals/match
0.63 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/91 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shots8/98.33 shots/match
4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target8/92.89 shots/match
53.8%Possession8/945.1%
5.13 corners/matchCorners8/93.22 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/92.33 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls8/913.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLazioCremonese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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