PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 19:45 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

AS Roma

WWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusAS Roma
Shots13 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target9 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession41%59%
Corners2 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Juventus's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Juventus's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventus's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus have a visible home split

moderate

Juventus's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · AS Roma in 3 · 5 too close

1.31 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.06 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲0.63 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1613.3 shots/match
10.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1610.8 shots/match
5.38 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/164.75 shots/match
3.19 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/164.06 shots/match
56.3%Possessionseason · 16/1657.8%
4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/165.25 corners/match
4.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲3.38 corners/match
1.56 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 16/162.19 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1614.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲44%
75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus67.5
AS Roma87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus85.8
AS Roma61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus77.5
AS Roma79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus87.5
AS Roma27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus32.5
AS Roma71.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus57.5
AS Roma72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus72.5
AS Roma75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
51.2%Possession5/554.2%
2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.5 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.8 shots/match
54.9%Possession10/1056.8%
3.3 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards10/102.7 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
1.31 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.06 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲0.63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shots16/1613.3 shots/match
5.38 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.75 shots/match
56.3%Possession16/1657.8%
4.44 corners/matchCorners16/165.25 corners/match
1.56 cards/matchCards16/162.19 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.4 shots/match▲Shots8/812.3 shots/match
7.13 shots/match▲Shots on target8/85.13 shots/match
56.3%Possession8/857.4%
6 corners/matchCorners8/85.13 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards8/82.38 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls8/815.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsJuventusAS Roma
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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