Serie A · 2025Allianz Stadium

Juventus 2–1 Roma · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Roma

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 2–1.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
95
Expected goals
2.551.44
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat AS Roma 2–1. Recorded in this match (Juventus – AS Roma): shots 13–14, shots on target 9–5, expected goals 2.55–1.44, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventus's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus have a visible home split

moderate

Juventus's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsJuventus 13 shots, Roma 14 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots5 shotsJuventus 9 shots, Roma 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.55 xG1.44 xGJuventus 2.55 xG, Roma 1.44 xG
  • Possession41%59%Juventus 41%, Roma 59%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersJuventus 2 corners, Roma 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsJuventus 14 fouls, Roma 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsJuventus 2 cards, Roma 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Manu Koné · AS Roma · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · AS Roma · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 40′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · AS Roma · 75′ · 0.03 xG · on targetManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 8′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDevyne Rensch · AS Roma · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 33′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLoïs Openda · Juventus · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 85′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEvan Ferguson · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPaulo Dybala · AS Roma · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · AS Roma · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · AS Roma · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 54′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPaulo Dybala · AS Roma · 11′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 23′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 80′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Dybala · AS Roma · 38′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 44′ · 0.15 xG · goalWeston McKennie · Juventus · 70′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGianluca Mancini · AS Roma · 67′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 53′ · 0.28 xG · on targetFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 43′ · 0.55 xG · on targetTommaso Baldanzi · AS Roma · 75′ · 0.64 xG · goalLoïs Openda · Juventus · 70′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 13 shots, 9 on target, 2.62 xG. AS Roma: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Francisco Conceição · Juventus · 44′Loïs Openda · Juventus · 70′Tommaso Baldanzi · AS Roma · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 2.62 xG · AS Roma 1.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Juventus
3Draws
1Roma
Roma — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Juventus — Roma · Serie A0–0
Roma — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Juventus — Roma · Serie A1–0
Roma — Juventus · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventus favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventus16 matchesRoma16 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.06 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.63 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.24 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots16/1613.3 shots/match
5.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/164.75 shots/match
56.3%Possession16/16● 57.8%
4.44 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.25 corners/match
1.56 cards/matchCards16/162.19 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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