Serie A · 2025Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna 0–1 Juventus · Serie A

Bologna

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0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 0–1.

Shots
1113
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.551.68
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Bologna 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Juventus): shots 11–13, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.55–1.68, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.27 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.4 corners/match ●CornersBologna · Juventus4.6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBolognaJuventusBaseline
Corners5.4 corners/match4.6 corners/match4.1 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots13 shotsBologna 11 shots, Juventus 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsBologna 4 shots, Juventus 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG1.68 xGBologna 0.55 xG, Juventus 1.68 xG
  • Possession51%49%Bologna 51%, Juventus 49%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersBologna 3 corners, Juventus 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsBologna 10 fouls, Juventus 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardBologna 3 cards, Juventus 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cabal · Juventus · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTommaso Pobega · Bologna · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNadir Zortea · Bologna · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 18′ · 0.05 xG · on targetWeston McKennie · Juventus · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 1′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · Juventus · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 5′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Juventus · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKenan Yıldız · Juventus · 63′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 32′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · Juventus · 90′ · 0.31 xG · on targetJuan Cabal · Juventus · 64′ · 0.65 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.48 xG. Juventus: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Juan Cabal · Juventus · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 0.48 xG · Juventus 1.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bologna
5Draws
0Juventus
Bologna — Juventus · Serie A1–1
Juventus — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Bologna — Juventus · Serie A3–3
Juventus — Bologna · Serie A1–1
Bologna — Juventus · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna15 matchesJuventus15 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.27 goals/match
0.87 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/150.93 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.41 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 15.7 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 5.13 shots/match
56.7%Possession15/15● 57.3%
5.4 corners/match ●Corners15/154.6 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards15/151.53 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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