PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa 1–2 Inter · Serie A

Genoa

WDDWW
1–2Historical match

Inter

WWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 1–2.

Shots
518
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
0.971.27
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Genoa 2–1. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Inter): shots 5–18, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 0.97–1.27, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsGenoa · Inter17.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGenoaInterBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match17.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match9.13 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.9%PossessionGenoa · Inter● 59.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGenoaInterBaseline
Possession47.9%59.5%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots18 shotsGenoa 5 shots, Inter 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsGenoa 3 shots, Inter 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG1.27 xGGenoa 0.97 xG, Inter 1.27 xG
  • Possession36%64%Genoa 36%, Inter 64%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersGenoa 1 corner, Inter 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls20 foulsGenoa 10 fouls, Inter 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsGenoa 2 cards, Inter 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ruslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 2′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Grønbæk · Genoa · 81′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBrooke Norton-Cuffy · Genoa · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 6′ · 0.05 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 38′ · 0.06 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 65′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 88′ · 0.06 xG · on targetManuel Akanji · Inter · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 22′ · 0.15 xG · on targetFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 66′ · 0.17 xG · on targetFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 32′ · 0.22 xG · on targetVitinha · Genoa · 68′ · 0.81 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.95 xG. Inter: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Vitinha · Genoa · 68′Yann Bisseck · Inter · 6′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 0.95 xG · Inter 1.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Genoa
3Draws
2Inter
Inter — Genoa · Serie A1–0
Genoa — Inter · Serie A2–2
Inter — Genoa · Serie A2–1
Genoa — Inter · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Inter · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa15 matchesInter15 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 2.27 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.84 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 17.5 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 5.6 shots/match
47.9%Possession15/15● 59.5%
3.67 corners/matchCorners15/15● 7.2 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCards15/151.53 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1514.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaInter
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headGenoa — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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