PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina 1–2 Hellas Verona · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hellas Verona won 1–2.

Shots
2013
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.710.94
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hellas Verona beat Fiorentina 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Hellas Verona): shots 20–13, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.71–0.94, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.87 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible home split

moderate

Fiorentina's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.9% ●PossessionFiorentina · Hellas Verona39.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession51.9%39.1%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots13 shotsFiorentina 20 shots, Hellas Verona 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFiorentina 4 shots, Hellas Verona 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.71 xG0.94 xGFiorentina 1.71 xG, Hellas Verona 0.94 xG
  • Possession65%35%Fiorentina 65%, Hellas Verona 35%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersFiorentina 9 corners, Hellas Verona 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls22 foulsFiorentina 10 fouls, Hellas Verona 22 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsFiorentina 1 card, Hellas Verona 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Fiorentina · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDodô · Fiorentina · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Gagliardini · Hellas Verona · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolás Valentini · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Bernede · Hellas Verona · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 38′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSimon Sohm · Fiorentina · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafik Belghali · Hellas Verona · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 42′ · 0.09 xG · goalFabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedUnai Núñez · Fiorentina · 69′ · 0.10 xG · goalMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 18′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Mosquera · Hellas Verona · 26′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 66′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 69′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 29′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.20 xG · goalLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 49′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 63′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 28′ · 0.30 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 21 shots, 5 on target, 1.80 xG. Hellas Verona: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Unai Núñez · Fiorentina · 69′Gift Orban · Hellas Verona · 42′Gift Orban · Hellas Verona · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 1.80 xG · Hellas Verona 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Fiorentina
0Draws
2Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Hellas Verona · Serie A3–1
Hellas Verona — Fiorentina · Serie A2–1
Fiorentina — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–0
Hellas Verona — Fiorentina · Serie A0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina15 matchesHellas Verona15 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 0.87 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.17 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots15/1512.2 shots/match
2.73 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.73 shots/match
51.9% ●Possession15/1539.1%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners15/153.87 corners/match
2.47 cards/matchCards15/152.8 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls15/1517.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFiorentinaHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headFiorentina — Hellas Verona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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