PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Milan 2–2 Sassuolo · Serie A

Milan

WDWWW
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan and Sassuolo drew 2–2.

Shots
138
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.451.07
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

AC Milan and Sassuolo drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (AC Milan – Sassuolo): shots 13–8, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.45–1.07, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsMilan 13 shots, Sassuolo 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsMilan 5 shots, Sassuolo 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG1.07 xGMilan 1.45 xG, Sassuolo 1.07 xG
  • Possession59%41%Milan 59%, Sassuolo 41%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersMilan 7 corners, Sassuolo 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsMilan 12 fouls, Sassuolo 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsMilan 1 card, Sassuolo 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alexis Saelemaekers · AC Milan · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Walukiewicz · Sassuolo · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · AC Milan · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · AC Milan · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJay Idzes · Sassuolo · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosh Doig · Sassuolo · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · AC Milan · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · AC Milan · 4′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Gabbia · AC Milan · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRuben Loftus-Cheek · AC Milan · 67′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDavide Bartesaghi · AC Milan · 47′ · 0.08 xG · goalChristian Pulišić · AC Milan · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 62′ · 0.11 xG · on targetStrahinja Pavlović · AC Milan · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 77′ · 0.12 xG · goalDavide Bartesaghi · AC Milan · 34′ · 0.23 xG · goalChristopher Nkunku · AC Milan · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 87′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Koné · Sassuolo · 13′ · 0.40 xG · goalAdrien Rabiot · AC Milan · 29′ · 0.44 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AC Milan: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.48 xG. Sassuolo: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Davide Bartesaghi · AC Milan · 34′Davide Bartesaghi · AC Milan · 47′Ismael Koné · Sassuolo · 13′Armand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AC Milan 1.48 xG · Sassuolo 1.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Milan
2Draws
1Sassuolo
Sassuolo — Milan · Serie A3–3
Milan — Sassuolo · Serie A1–0
Milan — Sassuolo · Serie A2–5
Sassuolo — Milan · Serie A0–0
Sassuolo — Milan · Serie A0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Milan favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Milan15 matchesSassuolo15 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.4 goals/match
0.87 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.27 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.08 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots15/1511 shots/match
4.73 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.93 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession15/1545.3%
4 corners/match ●Corners15/153.6 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards15/152.4 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMilanSassuolo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headMilan — Sassuolo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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