Serie A · 2025Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Udinese 1–0 Napoli · Serie A

Udinese

WLLWL
1–0Historical match

Napoli

DLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 1–0.

Shots
187
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
1.310.93
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Napoli 1–0. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Napoli): shots 18–7, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 1.31–0.93, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Udinese have a visible home split

moderate

Udinese's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.67 corners/matchCornersUdinese · Napoli● 5.53 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricUdineseNapoliBaseline
Corners4.67 corners/match5.53 corners/match4.1 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsUdinese 18 shots, Napoli 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsUdinese 5 shots, Napoli 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG0.93 xGUdinese 1.31 xG, Napoli 0.93 xG
  • Possession38%62%Udinese 38%, Napoli 62%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersUdinese 1 corner, Napoli 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls9 foulsUdinese 16 fouls, Napoli 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsUdinese 1 card, Napoli 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolò Bertola · Udinese · 52′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNicolò Bertola · Udinese · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 73′ · 0.02 xG · goalJakub Piotrowski · Udinese · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kabasele · Udinese · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOumar Solet · Udinese · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJakub Piotrowski · Udinese · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoa Lang · Napoli · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 30′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRasmus Højlund · Napoli · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOier Zarraga · Udinese · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJakub Piotrowski · Udinese · 59′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 57′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 59′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 68′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Napoli · 90′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Napoli · 88′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.38 xG. Napoli: 7 shots, 0 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 1.38 xG · Napoli 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Udinese
3Draws
2Napoli
Napoli — Udinese · Serie A1–1
Udinese — Napoli · Serie A1–3
Udinese — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Napoli — Udinese · Serie A4–1
Udinese — Napoli · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Napoli in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese15 matchesNapoli15 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 0.87 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.46 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots15/1512.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.8 shots/match
47.3%Possession15/15● 56.5%
4.67 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.53 corners/match
1.87 cards/matchCards15/151.47 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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