UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeSan Siro/Giuseppe MeazzaFull-time recap

Inter

WWWWL

0–1Full-time recap

Liverpool

WLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Inter	Liverpool
Shots	9 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.44 xG/match	1.42 xG/match▲
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	6 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Inter: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.42 xG. Liverpool: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 0.42 xG · Liverpool 1.44 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.83 corners/match▲CornersInter · Liverpool7 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Inter	Liverpool	Baseline
Corners	5.83 corners/match	7 corners/match	4.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Liverpool have a visible away split

weak

Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season18.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.3 shots/match	18.3 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Liverpool in 3 · 6 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/61.83 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.33 goals/match

2.28 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/62.36 xG/match

0.81 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/60.87 xG/match

17.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/618.3 shots/match

9.83 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲8.17 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲8 shots/match

3.83 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲3.17 shots/match

56.5%Possessionseason · 6/656.7%

5.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/67 corners/match

3.17 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/63.83 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/610.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%

83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter84.5

Liverpool86.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter74.4

Liverpool80.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter85.6

Liverpool80.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter70.2

Liverpool82.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter45.2

Liverpool35.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter82.1

Liverpool97.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter70.2

Liverpool78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

2.49 xG/match▲Expected goals5/52.31 xG/match

18.2 shots/matchShots5/518 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲8.4 shots/match

59%Possession5/556.8%

6 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.83 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match

2.28 xG/matchExpected goals6/62.36 xG/match

17.5 shots/matchShots6/618.3 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲8 shots/match

56.5%Possession6/656.7%

5.83 corners/matchCorners6/67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/610.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.83 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match

2.28 xG/matchExpected goals6/62.36 xG/match

17.5 shots/matchShots6/618.3 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲8 shots/match

56.5%Possession6/656.7%

5.83 corners/matchCorners6/67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/610.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match

2.18 xG/matchExpected goals3/32.16 xG/match

17.7 shots/match▲Shots3/315.3 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲7.67 shots/match

57.7%Possession3/360.7%

6.67 corners/matchCorners3/36.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4