PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe MeazzaFull-time recap

Inter

WWWLW
4–0Full-time recap

Como

WDDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricInterComo
Shots11 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target7 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession42%58%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Inter's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.4 shots/match▲ShotsInter · Como13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterComoBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against9.43 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

weak

Inter's last-five shots average is below their season average.

14.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season17.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match17.4 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Inter favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Como in 1 · 5 too close

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.36 goals/match
0.93 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲0.79 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
17.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1413.9 shots/match
9.43 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 14/1410.9 shots/match
5.43 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/145.21 shots/match
3.21 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/143.93 shots/match
59.2%Possessionseason · 14/1460.8%
7.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/143.93 corners/match
3.14 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/143.79 corners/match
1.43 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 14/142.43 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1414.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
50%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1443%
93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1464%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter92.5
Como97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter95.8
Como78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter80.8
Como70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter92.5
Como22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter33.8
Como80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter97.5
Como42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter88.1
Como71.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.8 shots/matchShots5/514.2 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.2 shots/match
58.6%Possession5/563.2%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/100.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17 shots/match▲Shots10/1013 shots/match
5.3 shots/matchShots on target10/105.4 shots/match
58.1%Possession10/1061%
6.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.36 goals/match
0.93 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲0.79 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.4 shots/match▲Shots14/1413.9 shots/match
5.43 shots/matchShots on target14/145.21 shots/match
59.2%Possession14/1460.8%
7.29 corners/matchCorners14/143.93 corners/match
1.43 cards/matchCards14/142.43 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 7 matches
2.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/71.14 goals/match
0.63 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/71.14 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18 shots/match▲Shots8/713.3 shots/match
6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/73.86 shots/match
59.9%Possession8/760.4%
8.25 corners/matchCorners8/73.71 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards8/72.29 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls8/715.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.89 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsInterComo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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