PitchMath
Serie A · 2025MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina · Serie A

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sassuolo won 3–1.

Shots
139
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
11.21
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sassuolo beat Fiorentina 3–1. Recorded in this match (Sassuolo – Fiorentina): shots 13–9, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1–1.21, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsSassuolo 13 shots, Fiorentina 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotSassuolo 5 shots, Fiorentina 1 shot
  • Expected goals1 xG1.21 xGSassuolo 1 xG, Fiorentina 1.21 xG
  • Possession40%60%Sassuolo 40%, Fiorentina 60%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerSassuolo 7 corners, Fiorentina 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsSassuolo 15 fouls, Fiorentina 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsSassuolo 2 cards, Fiorentina 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 14′ · 0.01 xG · goalMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTarik Muharemović · Sassuolo · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marí · Fiorentina · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTarik Muharemović · Sassuolo · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Sassuolo · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Fortini · Fiorentina · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCher Ndour · Fiorentina · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 3′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Koné · Sassuolo · 65′ · 0.18 xG · goalAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 29′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedTarik Muharemović · Sassuolo · 45′ · 0.27 xG · goalRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 9′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sassuolo: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.00 xG. Fiorentina: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Cristian Volpato · Sassuolo · 14′Tarik Muharemović · Sassuolo · 45′Ismael Koné · Sassuolo · 65′Rolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 9′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sassuolo 1.00 xG · Fiorentina 1.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Sassuolo
0Draws
3Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Sassuolo · Serie A5–1
Sassuolo — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Sassuolo — Fiorentina · Serie A1–3
Fiorentina — Sassuolo · Serie A2–1
Sassuolo — Fiorentina · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sassuolo favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sassuolo14 matchesFiorentina14 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.79 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.71 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.34 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots14/1411.6 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/142.64 shots/match
45.6%Possession14/14● 50.9%
3.64 corners/matchCorners14/14● 4.36 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards14/142.57 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSassuoloFiorentina
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headSassuolo — Fiorentina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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