PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadio Olimpico di TorinoFull-time recap

Torino

DDLLL
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTorinoCremonese
Shots18 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession46%54%
Corners6 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls20 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cremonese's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cremonese's last-five shots average is above their season average.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match8.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Torino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match▲ShotsTorino · Cremonese8.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoCremoneseBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match8.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Torino favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Cremonese in 3 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/15▲1.2 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/15▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/158.6 shots/match
14.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1516.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/153.33 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/155.2 shots/match
43%Possessionseason · 15/1546.3%
4.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/153.6 corners/match
4.4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/156.67 corners/match
1.73 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 15/152.07 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1512.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1527%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/15▲73%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Torino17.5
Cremonese37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Torino38.3
Cremonese27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Torino15
Cremonese21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Torino82.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Torino47.5
Cremonese40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Torino52.5
Cremonese17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Torino51.2
Cremonese16.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
39.4%Possession5/550%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/match▲Shots10/109.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match
43.1%Possession10/1046.8%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 15 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.2 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/match▲Shots15/158.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.33 shots/match
43%Possession15/1546.3%
4.2 corners/matchCorners15/153.6 corners/match
1.73 cards/matchCards15/152.07 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.13 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.13 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/match▲Shots8/88.25 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83 shots/match
44.4%Possession8/845.4%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/83.63 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards8/82.13 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls8/812.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTorinoCremonese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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