PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter 2–0 Lazio · Serie A

Inter

WWLWW
2–0Historical match

Lazio

DDWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 2–0.

Shots
88
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.910.63
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Lazio 2–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Lazio): shots 8–8, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.91–0.63, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.1 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Lazio10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterLazioBaseline
Shots18.1 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9.09 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Lazio have a visible away split

moderate

Lazio's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsInter 8 shots, Lazio 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsInter 3 shots, Lazio 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.91 xG0.63 xGInter 1.91 xG, Lazio 0.63 xG
  • Possession54%46%Inter 54%, Lazio 46%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerInter 3 corners, Lazio 1 corner
  • Fouls26 fouls11 foulsInter 26 fouls, Lazio 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardInter 3 cards, Lazio 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gustav Isaksen · Lazio · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 3′ · 0.03 xG · goalPedro · Lazio · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Inter · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMario Gila Fuentes · Lazio · 77′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 53′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 58′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPetar Sučić · Inter · 25′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pellegrini · Lazio · 87′ · 0.31 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 8′ · 0.60 xG · off target or blockedAnge-Yoan Bonny · Inter · 62′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.88 xG. Lazio: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 3′Ange-Yoan Bonny · Inter · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 1.88 xG · Lazio 0.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Inter
2Draws
0Lazio
Inter — Lazio · Serie A2–2
Lazio — Inter · Serie A0–6
Inter — Lazio · Serie A1–1
Lazio — Inter · Serie A0–2
Inter — Lazio · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter11 matchesLazio11 matches
2.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.18 goals/match
1.09 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.91 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.01 xG/match
18.1 shots/match ▲Shots11/1110.2 shots/match
5.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.64 shots/match
60.3% ●Possession11/1149%
7.27 corners/match ●Corners11/113 corners/match
1.55 cards/matchCards11/111.64 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1111 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterLazio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headInter — Lazio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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