PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna 2–0 Napoli · Serie A

Bologna

WWDDW
2–0Historical match

Napoli

WLWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 2–0.

Shots
114
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.920.24
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Napoli 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Napoli): shots 11–4, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.92–0.24, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.45 corners/matchCornersBologna · Napoli● 5.82 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBolognaNapoliBaseline
Corners5.45 corners/match5.82 corners/match4.27 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots4 shotsBologna 11 shots, Napoli 4 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotBologna 4 shots, Napoli 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.92 xG0.24 xGBologna 0.92 xG, Napoli 0.24 xG
  • Possession41%59%Bologna 41%, Napoli 59%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersBologna 5 corners, Napoli 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsBologna 14 fouls, Napoli 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsBologna 1 card, Napoli 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 58′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEljif Elmas · Napoli · 19′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 32′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJuan Miranda · Bologna · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Napoli · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Napoli · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Bologna · 50′ · 0.14 xG · goalJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 22′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJhon Lucumí · Bologna · 66′ · 0.36 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.94 xG. Napoli: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Thijs Dallinga · Bologna · 50′Jhon Lucumí · Bologna · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 0.94 xG · Napoli 0.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bologna
3Draws
1Napoli
Bologna — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Napoli — Bologna · Serie A3–0
Napoli — Bologna · Serie A0–2
Bologna — Napoli · Serie A0–0
Bologna — Napoli · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Napoli in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna11 matchesNapoli11 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.45 goals/match
0.73 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/110.91 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.51 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 14.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 5.18 shots/match
57.1%Possession11/11● 58.8%
5.45 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.82 corners/match
2.18 cards/matchCards11/111.45 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBolognaNapoli
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headBologna — Napoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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