PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadio Luigi FerrarisFull-time recap

Genoa

LDLLW
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGenoaFiorentina
Shots10 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession41%59%
Corners3 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls20 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Fiorentina's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.73 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible away split

moderate

Fiorentina's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fiorentina.

5.85 days▲Rest daysGenoa · Fiorentina7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGenoaFiorentinaBaseline
Rest days5.85 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Genoa favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 3 · 6 too close

0.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲0.82 goals/match
1.45 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.64 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/1111.6 shots/match
10.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1112.4 shots/match
3.73 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/112.82 shots/match
3.73 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/115 shots/match
48.3%Possessionseason · 11/1150.9%
4.36 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.36 corners/match
4.36 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/114.64 corners/match
2.73 cards/matchCardsseason · 11/11▲2.45 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1114.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1118%
55%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲64%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Genoa47.5
Fiorentina57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Genoa38.3
Fiorentina30
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Genoa56.7
Fiorentina17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Genoa62.5
Fiorentina37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Genoa90
Fiorentina75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Genoa60
Fiorentina60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Genoa60
Fiorentina48.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
48.8%Possession5/550.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/53.2 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/matchShots10/1012.4 shots/match
3.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match
47.2%Possession10/1050.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲0.82 goals/match
1.45 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.64 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.1 shots/matchShots11/1111.6 shots/match
3.73 shots/match▲Shots on target11/112.82 shots/match
48.3%Possession11/1150.9%
4.36 corners/matchCorners11/114.36 corners/match
2.73 cards/matchCards11/112.45 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲0.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.5 shots/match▲Shots6/69.33 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.17 shots/match
55.3%Possession6/651.7%
4.17 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards6/62.33 cards/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls6/614.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGenoaFiorentina
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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