PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa 2–2 Fiorentina · Serie A

Genoa

LDLLW
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa and Fiorentina drew 2–2.

Shots
107
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.581.56
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa and Fiorentina drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Fiorentina): shots 10–7, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.58–1.56, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.73 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible away split

moderate

Fiorentina's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fiorentina.

5.85 days ▲Rest daysGenoa · Fiorentina7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGenoaFiorentinaBaseline
Rest days5.85 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsGenoa 10 shots, Fiorentina 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsGenoa 6 shots, Fiorentina 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG1.56 xGGenoa 1.58 xG, Fiorentina 1.56 xG
  • Possession41%59%Genoa 41%, Fiorentina 59%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersGenoa 3 corners, Fiorentina 7 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls15 foulsGenoa 20 fouls, Fiorentina 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsGenoa 2 cards, Fiorentina 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vitinha · Genoa · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMorten Thorsby · Genoa · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marí · Fiorentina · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Fortini · Fiorentina · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Fortini · Fiorentina · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrizio Masini · Genoa · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Genoa · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Marcandalli · Genoa · 43′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Genoa · 60′ · 0.08 xG · goalRoberto Piccoli · Fiorentina · 74′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLeo Østigård · Genoa · 60′ · 0.13 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Fiorentina · 17′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLeo Østigård · Genoa · 15′ · 0.27 xG · goalRoberto Piccoli · Fiorentina · 57′ · 0.47 xG · goalAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 20′ · 0.82 xG · goalLorenzo Colombo · Genoa · 50′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.61 xG. Fiorentina: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Leo Østigård · Genoa · 15′Lorenzo Colombo · Genoa · 60′Albert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 20′Roberto Piccoli · Fiorentina · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 1.61 xG · Fiorentina 1.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Genoa
1Draws
4Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Genoa · Serie A2–1
Genoa — Fiorentina · Serie A0–1
Fiorentina — Genoa · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Fiorentina · Serie A1–4
Fiorentina — Genoa · Serie A6–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa11 matchesFiorentina11 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.64 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.4 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots11/1111.6 shots/match
3.73 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/112.82 shots/match
48.3%Possession11/11● 50.9%
4.36 corners/matchCorners11/114.36 corners/match
2.73 cards/matchCards11/112.45 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaFiorentina
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headGenoa — Fiorentina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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