PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeGewiss StadiumFull-time recap
0–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtalantaSassuolo
Shots14 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession68%32%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match▲ShotsAtalanta · Sassuolo10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaSassuoloBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match10 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atalanta have a visible home split

moderate

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match14.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atalanta favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 2 · 5 too close

1.18 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲1.27 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.09 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1110 shots/match
10.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1113.6 shots/match
4.09 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.55 shots/match
3.91 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/114.64 shots/match
57.2%Possessionseason · 11/1145.3%
6.09 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/113.18 corners/match
3.45 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/115.09 corners/match
1.64 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 11/112.55 cards/match
9.91 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1113.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲36%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1173%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atalanta72.5
Sassuolo32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atalanta68.3
Sassuolo44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atalanta67.5
Sassuolo36.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atalanta72.5
Sassuolo27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atalanta13.8
Sassuolo70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atalanta87.5
Sassuolo17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atalanta60
Sassuolo33.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
61.4%Possession5/547.2%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.3 shots/match
3.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match
56.3%Possession10/1046%
5.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.27 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.09 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shots11/1110 shots/match
4.09 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.55 shots/match
57.2%Possession11/1145.3%
6.09 corners/matchCorners11/113.18 corners/match
1.64 cards/matchCards11/112.55 cards/match
9.91 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.5 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.2 shots/match▲Shots6/69.67 shots/match
4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64 shots/match
59.3%Possession6/645.5%
7.67 corners/matchCorners6/63.5 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards6/62.33 cards/match
9.83 fouls/matchFouls6/613.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.75 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAtalantaSassuolo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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