PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

AS Roma

WLWWL
2–0Full-time recap

Udinese

DDWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAS RomaUdinese
Shots13 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession58%42%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: AS Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

weak

Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AS Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AS Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match▲ShotsAS Roma · Udinese11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaUdineseBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.4%▲PossessionAS Roma · Udinese47%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaUdineseBaseline
Possession59.4%47%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AS Roma favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Udinese in 1 · 5 too close

1.09 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/111.09 goals/match
0.45 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.55 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1111.5 shots/match
10.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1112.4 shots/match
5.18 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.73 shots/match
3.45 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/114 shots/match
59.4%Possessionseason · 11/1147%
5.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.27 corners/match
3.64 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/115.27 corners/match
1.91 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 11/112.18 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1112.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
55%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1118%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AS Roma87.5
Udinese42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AS Roma72.5
Udinese45.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AS Roma82.5
Udinese31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AS Roma52.5
Udinese57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AS Roma53.8
Udinese47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AS Roma85
Udinese50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AS Roma78.8
Udinese43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match
5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
59.4%Possession5/543.4%
6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.3 shots/match
5.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match
60.2%Possession10/1045.4%
6.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 11 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.09 goals/match
0.45 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.55 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots11/1111.5 shots/match
5.18 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.73 shots/match
59.4%Possession11/1147%
5.82 corners/matchCorners11/114.27 corners/match
1.91 cards/matchCards11/112.18 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches
1.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61 goals/match
0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.3 shots/match▲Shots6/610.2 shots/match
4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.33 shots/match
59.3%Possession6/645%
5.5 corners/matchCorners6/64.17 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards6/62.5 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/613.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.89 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAS RomaUdinese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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