PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Udinese 1–0 Atalanta · Serie A

Udinese

LDDWL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 1–0.

Shots
115
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
0.530.37
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Atalanta 1–0. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Atalanta): shots 11–5, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 0.53–0.37, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Udinese, Atalanta.

2.85 days ▲Rest daysUdinese · Atalanta3.76 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricUdineseAtalantaBaseline
Rest days2.85 days3.76 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atalanta have a visible away split

moderate

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots5 shotsUdinese 11 shots, Atalanta 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsUdinese 5 shots, Atalanta 0 shots
  • Expected goals0.53 xG0.37 xGUdinese 0.53 xG, Atalanta 0.37 xG
  • Possession40%60%Udinese 40%, Atalanta 60%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersUdinese 5 corners, Atalanta 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsUdinese 14 fouls, Atalanta 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsUdinese 1 card, Atalanta 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hassane Kamara · Udinese · 20′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRaoul Bellanova · Atalanta · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 15′ · 0.03 xG · on targetArthur Atta · Udinese · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJesper Karlström · Udinese · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVakoun Issouf Bayo · Udinese · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJakub Piotrowski · Udinese · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHassane Kamara · Udinese · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 62′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 2′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 40′ · 0.14 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.51 xG. Atalanta: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Nicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 0.51 xG · Atalanta 0.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Udinese
3Draws
2Atalanta
Udinese — Atalanta · Serie A0–0
Atalanta — Udinese · Serie A2–1
Atalanta — Udinese · Serie A2–0
Udinese — Atalanta · Serie A1–1
Atalanta — Udinese · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese10 matchesAtalanta10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 0.8 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.37 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.3 shots/match
47.5%Possession10/10● 56.1%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/10● 6.3 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUdineseAtalanta
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headUdinese — Atalanta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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