PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeBluenergy Stadium - Stadio FriuliFull-time recap

Udinese

LDDWL
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricUdineseAtalanta
Shots11 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession40%60%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Udinese, Atalanta. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Udinese, Atalanta.

2.85 days▲Rest daysUdinese · Atalanta3.76 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricUdineseAtalantaBaseline
Rest days2.85 days3.76 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atalanta have a visible away split

moderate

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Atalanta in 7 · 6 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/10▲14.6 shots/match
12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/10▲10.7 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/10▲4.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/103.9 shots/match
47.5%Possessionseason · 10/1056.1%
4.3 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/106.3 corners/match
5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/10▲3.7 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCardsseason · 10/10▲1.8 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1010 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1020%
90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1080%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese42.5
Atalanta67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese48.3
Atalanta70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese37.5
Atalanta65.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese62.5
Atalanta72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese50
Atalanta17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese57.5
Atalanta92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese46.2
Atalanta60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.8 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match
47%Possession5/558%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/57.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.6 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.3 shots/match
47.5%Possession10/1056.1%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/106.3 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.6 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.3 shots/match
47.5%Possession10/1056.1%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/106.3 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
49.4%Possession5/554.6%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.85 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.76 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsUdineseAtalanta
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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