Serie A · 2025Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap

Juventus

WWWDD

0–0Full-time recap

AC Milan

LWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Juventus	AC Milan
Shots	12 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	6 corners/match	0 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · AC Milan in 5 · 6 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/61.5 goals/match

0.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲0.5 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

16 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/614 shots/match

12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲9.5 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/64.67 shots/match

2.83 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/63.17 shots/match

58.5%Possessionseason · 6/650.7%

6.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64.33 corners/match

4.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲4 corners/match

1.83 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/6▲1.33 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/69.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲67%

83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus82.5

AC Milan57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus82.5

AC Milan68.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus68.3

AC Milan85.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus82.5

AC Milan87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus31.2

AC Milan10

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus87.5

AC Milan55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus69.4

AC Milan47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match

57.4%Possession5/548%

6.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.5 goals/match

0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

16 shots/match▲Shots6/614 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.67 shots/match

58.5%Possession6/650.7%

6.33 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match

1.83 cards/matchCards6/61.33 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/69.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.5 goals/match

0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲0.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

16 shots/match▲Shots6/614 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.67 shots/match

58.5%Possession6/650.7%

6.33 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match

1.83 cards/matchCards6/61.33 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/69.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches

1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/31.67 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/3▲0 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

18.3 shots/match▲Shots4/313.3 shots/match

6.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/35.33 shots/match

55.8%Possession4/354.7%

7.75 corners/matchCorners4/33 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards4/30.67 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls4/37.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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