PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeStadio Renato Dall'AraFull-time recap

Bologna

LWLWD
4–0Full-time recap

Pisa

DLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBolognaPisa
Shots24 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession71%29%
Corners2 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Bologna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bologna have a visible home split

weak

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bologna show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bologna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsBologna · Pisa9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaPisaBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match9.67 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match16.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.2%▲PossessionBologna · Pisa36.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBolognaPisaBaseline
Possession57.2%36.7%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bologna favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Pisa in 1 · 4 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/60.5 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 6/61.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/69.67 shots/match
10.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 6/616.7 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/62.33 shots/match
2.83 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 6/64.83 shots/match
57.2%Possessionseason · 6/636.7%
5.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/63.67 corners/match
3.33 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 6/66 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/6▲1.17 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/613.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%
67%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 6/633%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bologna72.5
Pisa2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bologna55.8
Pisa13.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bologna81.7
Pisa15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bologna37.5
Pisa67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bologna50
Pisa32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bologna80
Pisa25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bologna60.6
Pisa27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/59.4 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
58.8%Possession5/537.2%
6 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.5 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.7 shots/match▲Shots6/69.67 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.33 shots/match
57.2%Possession6/636.7%
5.67 corners/matchCorners6/63.67 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards6/61.17 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.5 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.7 shots/match▲Shots6/69.67 shots/match
3.67 shots/match▲Shots on target6/62.33 shots/match
57.2%Possession6/636.7%
5.67 corners/matchCorners6/63.67 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards6/61.17 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match
0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.7 shots/match▲Shots3/39.33 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target3/32.67 shots/match
55.3%Possession3/333%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBolognaPisa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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