PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina 1–2 Roma · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Roma

WWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 1–2.

Shots
118
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.11.35
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Roma beat Fiorentina 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – AS Roma): shots 11–8, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.1–1.35, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Roma have a visible away split

weak

AS Roma's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.2 fouls/matchFoulsFiorentina · AS Roma15 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaAS RomaBaseline
Fouls15.2 fouls/match15 fouls/match13.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.3%PossessionFiorentina · AS Roma● 59.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaAS RomaBaseline
Possession51.3%59.3%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsFiorentina 11 shots, Roma 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsFiorentina 3 shots, Roma 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG1.35 xGFiorentina 1.1 xG, Roma 1.35 xG
  • Possession45%55%Fiorentina 45%, Roma 55%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersFiorentina 3 corners, Roma 4 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls21 foulsFiorentina 19 fouls, Roma 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsFiorentina 2 cards, Roma 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bryan Cristante · AS Roma · 30′ · 0.01 xG · goalDodô · Fiorentina · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Fiorentina · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Ranieri · Fiorentina · 38′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · AS Roma · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Fiorentina · 51′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPaulo Dybala · AS Roma · 89′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDodô · Fiorentina · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 14′ · 0.06 xG · goalMatías Soulé · AS Roma · 22′ · 0.07 xG · goalEvan Ndicka · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 38′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · AS Roma · 27′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · AS Roma · 50′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Fiorentina · 69′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · Fiorentina · 82′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · AS Roma · 36′ · 0.68 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.11 xG. AS Roma: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 14′Matías Soulé · AS Roma · 22′Bryan Cristante · AS Roma · 30′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 1.11 xG · AS Roma 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fiorentina
2Draws
1Roma
Roma — Fiorentina · Serie A1–0
Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A5–1
Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A2–2
Roma — Fiorentina · Serie A1–1
Fiorentina — Roma · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina6 matchesRoma6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.33 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.16 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 12.8 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.67 shots/match
51.3%Possession6/6● 59.3%
4 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.67 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards6/61.33 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls6/615 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFiorentinaRoma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headFiorentina — Roma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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