PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli 2–1 Genoa · Serie A

Napoli

WWWWL
2–1Historical match

Genoa

DLDLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 2–1.

Shots
126
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.310.44
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Genoa 2–1. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Genoa): shots 12–6, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.31–0.44, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

weak

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsNapoli · Genoa9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNapoliGenoaBaseline
Shots16 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Napoli have recorded the higher season possession share.

62% ●PossessionNapoli · Genoa47.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNapoliGenoaBaseline
Possession62%47.8%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsNapoli 12 shots, Genoa 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotNapoli 5 shots, Genoa 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.31 xG0.44 xGNapoli 1.31 xG, Genoa 0.44 xG
  • Possession69%31%Napoli 69%, Genoa 31%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersNapoli 7 corners, Genoa 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsNapoli 16 fouls, Genoa 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsNapoli 1 card, Genoa 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jeff Ekhator · Genoa · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavid Neres · Napoli · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Genoa · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Neres · Napoli · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Genoa · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 65′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 75′ · 0.04 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Napoli · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Spinazzola · Napoli · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Napoli · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRasmus Højlund · Napoli · 75′ · 0.12 xG · goalScott McTominay · Napoli · 48′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJeff Ekhator · Genoa · 33′ · 0.28 xG · goalMatteo Politano · Napoli · 11′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 57′ · 0.35 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.30 xG. Genoa: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Frank Anguissa · Napoli · 57′Rasmus Højlund · Napoli · 75′Jeff Ekhator · Genoa · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 1.30 xG · Genoa 0.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Napoli
3Draws
0Genoa
Napoli — Genoa · Serie A2–2
Genoa — Napoli · Serie A1–2
Napoli — Genoa · Serie A1–1
Genoa — Napoli · Serie A2–2
Napoli — Genoa · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli6 matchesGenoa6 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.5 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
1.9 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots6/69.5 shots/match
6.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.17 shots/match
62% ●Possession6/647.8%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners6/64.5 corners/match
0.83 cards/matchCards6/63 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls6/615.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNapoliGenoa
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headNapoli — Genoa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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