Milan
Serie A · 2025Milan 2–1 Napoli · Serie A
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Milan won 2–1.
- Shots
- 6–19
- Shots on target
- 3–7
- Expected goals
- 0.75–2.96
- Possession
- 37%–63%
Full time
What the match recorded
AC Milan beat Napoli 2–1. Recorded in this match (AC Milan – Napoli): shots 6–19, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.75–2.96, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Both teams have elevated corners records
moderateEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | AC Milan | Napoli | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.2 corners/match | 6.4 corners/match | 4.1 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateNapoli have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | AC Milan | Napoli | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 51% | 60.6% | 49.5% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
AC Milan: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.73 xG. Napoli: 19 shots, 7 on target, 3.00 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AC Milan 0.73 xG · Napoli 3.00 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Milan favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Napoli in 6 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Milan / Napoli
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
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