PitchMath
Serie B · 2025Estadio Serra Dourada

Atlético Goianiense 1–0 Novorizontino · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Goianiense won 1–0.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
45
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico Goianiense beat Novorizontino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atletico Goianiense – Novorizontino): shots 10–15, shots on target 4–5, possession 29%–71%, corners 6–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atletico Goianiense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atletico Goianiense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.33 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Novorizontino have a visible away split

weak

Novorizontino's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atletico Goianiense show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atletico Goianiense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAtletico Goianiense · Novorizontino16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico GoianienseNovorizontinoBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsAtlético Goianiense 10 shots, Novorizontino 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsAtlético Goianiense 4 shots, Novorizontino 5 shots
  • Possession29%71%Atlético Goianiense 29%, Novorizontino 71%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersAtlético Goianiense 6 corners, Novorizontino 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsAtlético Goianiense 16 fouls, Novorizontino 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsAtlético Goianiense 4 cards, Novorizontino 3 cards
  • Passes199 passes501 passesAtlético Goianiense 199 passes, Novorizontino 501 passes
  • Pass accuracy62%88%Atlético Goianiense 62%, Novorizontino 88%
  • Shots inside box3 shots6 shotsAtlético Goianiense 3 shots, Novorizontino 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksAtlético Goianiense 2 blocks, Novorizontino 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesAtlético Goianiense 5 saves, Novorizontino 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides5 offsidesAtlético Goianiense 0 offsides, Novorizontino 5 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Goianiense
2Draws
0Novorizontino
Atlético Goianiense — Novorizontino · Serie B2–2
Novorizontino — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense6 matchesNovorizontino6 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.67 goals/match
13.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 16.2 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target6/64.5 shots/match
45.5%Possession6/6● 53.3%
5.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards6/62.33 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls6/614.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAtlético GoianienseNovorizontino
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2025
Head-to-headAtlético Goianiense — Novorizontino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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