PitchMath
Serie B · 2025Ligga Arena

Athletico 1–4 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 1–4.

Shots
119
Shots on target
56
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo SP beat Atletico Paranaense 4–1. Recorded in this match (Atletico Paranaense – Botafogo SP): shots 11–9, shots on target 5–6, possession 40%–60%, corners 4–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo SP show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Botafogo SP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAtletico Paranaense · Botafogo SP8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico ParanaenseBotafogo SPBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match8.67 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Botafogo SP's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo SP's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsAthletico 11 shots, Botafogo-SP 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsAthletico 5 shots, Botafogo-SP 6 shots
  • Possession40%60%Athletico 40%, Botafogo-SP 60%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersAthletico 4 corners, Botafogo-SP 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsAthletico 14 fouls, Botafogo-SP 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsAthletico 3 cards, Botafogo-SP 4 cards
  • Passes301 passes456 passesAthletico 301 passes, Botafogo-SP 456 passes
  • Pass accuracy83%89%Athletico 83%, Botafogo-SP 89%
  • Shots inside box9 shots6 shotsAthletico 9 shots, Botafogo-SP 6 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks0 blocksAthletico 0 blocks, Botafogo-SP 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesAthletico 2 saves, Botafogo-SP 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides0 offsidesAthletico 0 offsides, Botafogo-SP 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico6 matchesBotafogo-SP6 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
10.2 shots/match ▲Shots6/68.67 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.17 shots/match
47.7% ●Possession6/644.3%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/64.83 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards6/63.17 cards/match
17.2 fouls/matchFouls6/613.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 5 May 2025, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAthleticoBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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