Eredivisie · 2026

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.572.14
Expected goals
2.531.47
Shots
19.414.9
Possession
59%49.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: FC Groningen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: AZ Alkmaar have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FC Groningen have a visible away split

weak

FC Groningen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match14.9 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Groningen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Groningen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAZ Alkmaar · FC Groningen14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarFC GroningenBaseline
Shots19.4 shots/match14.9 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against8.29 shots/match15.3 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Groningen's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Groningen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.14 goals/match1.79 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AZ Alkmaar favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · FC Groningen in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AZ Alkmaar7 matchesFC Groningen7 matches
2.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/72.14 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
2.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.47 xG/match
19.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/714.9 shots/match
7.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/75.43 shots/match
59% ●Possession7/749.6%
8.57 corners/match ●Corners7/74.43 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls7/78.29 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3AZ Alkmaar
1Draws
1FC Groningen
FC Groningen — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie3–0
AZ Alkmaar — FC Groningen · Eredivisie4–1
AZ Alkmaar — FC Groningen · Eredivisie3–0
FC Groningen — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie0–0
FC Groningen — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness51 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Nov 2026, 15:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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