Manchester United
Premier League · 2026Manchester United vs Aston Villa · Premier League
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.6–0.8
- Expected goals
- 1.92–0.88
- Shots
- 22.6–9.6
- Possession
- 59.8%–45.6%
30-second read
What the record shows
The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 3 to Manchester United, 1 drawn, 1 to Aston Villa. From this fixture's own record: manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.
Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateManchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Manchester United | Aston Villa | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 22.6 shots/match | 9.6 shots/match | 13.6 shots/match |
| Shots against | 10.6 shots/match | 16.2 shots/match | 13.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Aston Villa have a visible away split
weakAston Villa's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11.3 shots/match | 9.6 shots/match | 13.6 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateManchester United have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Manchester United | Aston Villa | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 59.8% | 45.6% | 47.6% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Manchester United favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 1
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Manchester United / Aston Villa
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
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