PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

Royal Antwerp FC vs Lommel SK · Belgian Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.570.86
Expected goals
1.380.94
Shots
15.110
Possession
48.7%45.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: royal Antwerp FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: royal Antwerp FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Royal Antwerp FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Royal Antwerp FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsRoyal Antwerp FC · Lommel SK10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRoyal Antwerp FCLommel SKBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match10 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match21 shots/match14.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Royal Antwerp FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Royal Antwerp FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royal Antwerp FC favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Lommel SK in 4 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royal Antwerp FC7 matchesLommel SK7 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.94 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots7/710 shots/match
5.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.43 shots/match
48.7% ●Possession7/745.7%
5 corners/match ●Corners7/73.43 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls7/77.43 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyal Antwerp FCLommel SK
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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