PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.710.71
Expected goals
0.971.22
Shots
13.111.7
Possession
49%49%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oud-Heverlee Leuven favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · KV Mechelen in 5 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oud-Heverlee Leuven7 matchesKV Mechelen7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.71 goals/match
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.22 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.7 shots/match
2.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 3.14 shots/match
49%Possession7/749%
3.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3Draws
1KV Mechelen
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–2
KV Mechelen — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–2
KV Mechelen — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 17:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOud-Heverlee LeuvenKV Mechelen
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headOud-Heverlee Leuven — KV Mechelen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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