PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

Lommel SK vs KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.861.86
Expected goals
0.941.16
Shots
1012.4
Possession
45.7%45.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: lommel SK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: lommel SK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Lommel SK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lommel SK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsLommel SK · KAA Gent12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLommel SKKAA GentBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against21 shots/match10.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Lommel SK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lommel SK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lommel SK favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · KAA Gent in 11 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lommel SK7 matchesKAA Gent7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.57 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.16 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 12.4 shots/match
2.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.86 shots/match
45.7% ●Possession7/745.6%
3.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.57 corners/match
7.43 fouls/matchFouls7/710.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness44 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLommel SKKAA Gent
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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