PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Parma vs Bologna · Serie A

Parma

LLDLW
vsPre-match analysis

Bologna

LLDLD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.80.6
Expected goals
0.671.18
Shots
813.4
Possession
42.6%52%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Parma, 1 drawn, 2 to Bologna. From this fixture's own record: parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Parma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsParma · Bologna13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParmaBolognaBaseline
Shots8 shots/match13.4 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against18.2 shots/match12 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.6%PossessionParma · Bologna● 52%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParmaBolognaBaseline
Possession42.6%52%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Bologna in 9 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma5 matchesBologna5 matches
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.18 xG/match
8 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 13.4 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 3.2 shots/match
42.6%Possession5/5● 52%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 4.2 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Parma
1Draws
2Bologna
Bologna — Parma · Serie A0–1
Bologna — Parma · Coppa Italia2–1
Parma — Bologna · Serie A1–3
Parma — Bologna · Serie A2–0
Bologna — Parma · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParmaBologna
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headParma — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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